Wednesday, January 22, 2025
Why is Rivian stock losing it's shine in 2025?
Rivian's stock drop in 2025 can be attributed to several key factors based on the available information:
Production and Supply Chain Challenges: Rivian has faced significant hurdles in scaling up its production. Supply chain issues and production delays have been more severe than anticipated, impacting their ability to meet delivery targets. This includes a shortfall in component supply, which led to a reduction in their full-year production guidance in 2024, and these issues seem to have persisted into 2025.
High Cash Burn and Financial Concerns: Rivian has been burning through cash at an aggressive rate. With significant cash burn projected through 2025, and the company not yet achieving profitability, there's investor concern about the company's financial health and its path to becoming profitable. Posts on X also highlight the rapid depletion of Rivian's cash reserves, suggesting a potential risk of running out of money in the near future.
Competitive Market and Demand Uncertainty: The electric vehicle (EV) market has become increasingly competitive with both established automakers and new entrants vying for market share. Rivian's high vehicle prices compared to competitors, alongside a general market slowdown in EV demand, have contributed to investor skepticism about Rivian's growth prospects. Analyst reports and posts on X reflect doubts about Rivian's ability to capture significant market share or achieve the volume needed for profitability.
Macroeconomic Factors and Policy Changes: The change in administration in the U.S., with Donald Trump as the 47th President, has introduced uncertainty regarding EV incentives and policies. The potential elimination of EV tax credits and other incentives has been highlighted as a significant risk factor for Rivian's market performance and stock valuation.
Strategic Decisions and Market Perception: Decisions like backing out of building a new plant in Georgia due to unmet sales goals have been perceived negatively by some investors, signaling potential operational and strategic challenges. This, combined with the negative gross profit margins on vehicles sold, further dampens investor confidence.
These factors collectively contribute to the decline in Rivian's stock price in 2025, reflecting both internal company challenges and broader market dynamics.
So, what about solar powered cars in the future?
The future of solar-powered cars looks promising yet challenging, with several innovations and hurdles currently shaping the landscape:
Current Developments and Innovations:
Aptera Motors has been at the forefront, introducing vehicles that can travel up to 40 miles per day on solar power alone, thanks to integrated solar panels. Their design focuses on efficiency, with a carbon fiber body and aerodynamic shapes to minimize energy consumption. They aim for vehicles that require no charging for most daily use, potentially revolutionizing short-distance commuting.
Lightyear, a Dutch company, has developed cars like Lightyear 0 with solar panels that enhance the vehicle's range by around 40 miles daily. Their vehicles are designed to be both efficient and visually appealing, blending traditional car aesthetics with solar technology.
Sono Motors from Germany is working on the Sion, which integrates solar cells into the car's body, aiming to provide an additional 30 kilometers of range per day. This approach showcases how solar technology can be part of a vehicle's structure, not just an add-on.
Fisker's Ocean model includes a significant solar roof panel called SolarSky, which can add up to 2,000 miles of range per year, highlighting the potential for solar technology in larger vehicles like SUVs.
Challenges and Considerations:
Efficiency and Surface Area: Solar cars face issues with the amount of energy they can generate due to limited surface area for solar panels and the efficiency of these panels, currently around 22%. This means that while solar cars can contribute significantly to daily commutes, they are not yet fully autonomous from traditional charging for long distances.
Cost and Accessibility: The initial cost of solar cars remains high, which could limit accessibility. However, as solar panel technology advances and becomes cheaper, there's potential for broader market penetration.
Weather and Geographical Limitations: Solar power's effectiveness varies with weather conditions and geographical location, potentially reducing its utility in regions with less sunlight. This has led to discussions on using solar panels more as a supplementary power source rather than the primary one.
Integration with Existing Infrastructure: The integration of solar power with electric vehicles (EVs) could reduce reliance on charging infrastructure, but it also requires advancements in battery technology and energy storage to be truly effective.
Future Outlook:
The concept of solar-powered cars is seen as a step towards energy independence and sustainability, with companies like Aptera and Lightyear focusing on making solar a primary power source for vehicles. The vision is for cars to become less dependent on grid electricity, potentially allowing for self-sustaining daily drives in optimal conditions.
However, posts on X and various analyses suggest skepticism about the full practicality of solar cars replacing conventional EVs due to these technological and environmental constraints. The consensus seems to lean towards solar power being an auxiliary rather than the sole power source for cars.
In conclusion, while solar-powered cars hold significant potential in reducing the environmental impact of transportation, their widespread adoption depends heavily on overcoming current technological barriers, reducing costs, and adapting to the diverse global climates and usage patterns.
What is the future of hydrogen powered cars?
The future of hydrogen-powered cars presents a complex landscape with both potential advantages and significant challenges. Here's a detailed look based on current insights and trends:
Advantages:
Refueling Speed: Hydrogen fuel cell vehicles (FCEVs) can be refueled in about the same time as traditional gasoline vehicles, offering a convenience factor that is often seen as superior to battery electric vehicles (BEVs) which require longer charging times.
Range: Hydrogen vehicles can offer longer driving ranges on a single tank, with some models promising over 300 miles, which can alleviate range anxiety.
Environmental Impact: When hydrogen is produced from renewable sources, FCEVs emit only water vapor, making them zero-emission vehicles at the point of use. This can contribute significantly to reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
Infrastructure Potential: There's ongoing investment in hydrogen infrastructure, particularly in regions like California, where there is a notable push towards hydrogen refueling stations.
Challenges:
Infrastructure: The current lack of widespread hydrogen refueling infrastructure remains a major barrier. Although there's growth, it's not comparable to the electric charging network, creating a chicken-and-egg problem where demand for vehicles is stifled by the lack of stations and vice versa.
Production and Cost: Most hydrogen today is not produced in an environmentally friendly manner, often derived from natural gas which involves significant CO2 emissions. The cost of hydrogen production, especially green hydrogen (produced via electrolysis using renewable energy), remains high, affecting the overall economics of hydrogen vehicles.
Efficiency: The energy efficiency of hydrogen vehicles is lower compared to BEVs when considering the entire energy conversion process from production to vehicle propulsion. This inefficiency has been a point of criticism, with some experts arguing that electricity should be used directly rather than converted to hydrogen.
Market Penetration: Despite interest from some manufacturers like Toyota and Hyundai in hydrogen technology, sales numbers remain low, and most automakers are focusing on battery electric vehicles. This focus is driven by the established infrastructure for electricity and the rapid decline in battery costs.
Current Trends and Future Outlook:
Investment and Research: There's continued investment in hydrogen technology, especially for heavy vehicles like trucks and buses where hydrogen's benefits in terms of range and refueling speed are more pronounced.
Technological Advancements: Innovations in fuel cell technology and hydrogen production methods are ongoing, with some optimism that costs could decrease and efficiency could improve, potentially making hydrogen cars more viable.
Geopolitical and Economic Factors: Some regions or countries with high electricity costs or access to abundant renewable energy might see hydrogen cars as a more practical option, particularly where battery production materials are scarce or expensive.
Market Sentiment: Posts on X suggest a mixed view, with some enthusiasts believing in hydrogen's potential while others see it as less practical for passenger cars compared to BEVs. However, there's acknowledgment of hydrogen's role in larger vehicles and industrial applications.
In summary, while hydrogen cars hold significant promise for certain applications, particularly in commercial transport, the path to becoming mainstream for passenger vehicles is fraught with challenges. The future likely involves a diversified approach where hydrogen plays a role alongside battery electric vehicles, depending on technological advancements, economic factors, and regional infrastructure development.
Friday, January 17, 2025
Rivian or Tesla, who is better?
When considering Rivian versus Tesla, here are some key points to compare:
Brand and Market Position:
Tesla is a well-established name in the electric vehicle (EV) market, known for pioneering electric cars with a strong brand identity focused on technology, performance, and sustainability. Their vehicles, like the Model S, Model 3, Model Y, and Model X, have a wide market presence.
Rivian is newer to the market, focusing on adventure and outdoor enthusiasts with vehicles like the R1T (pickup) and R1S (SUV). Rivian aims to carve out a niche for those interested in off-road capabilities and a different aesthetic from Tesla's.
Vehicle Offerings:
Tesla offers a broader range of models, including sedans, crossovers, and now with the Cybertruck, a unique pickup. Their vehicles are known for their sleek designs, performance, and advanced software features.
Rivian currently has two models, the R1T electric pickup truck and the R1S electric SUV, both designed for rugged use and outdoor adventures. They are expanding with the R2 and R3, which aim to reach a broader market with more affordable options.
Technology and Innovation:
Tesla is ahead in terms of software, particularly with their Autopilot and Full Self-Driving (FSD) systems, which have been in development for years. Their vehicles benefit from frequent over-the-air updates enhancing functionality and performance.
Rivian has impressive tech in its vehicles, like the Gear Tunnel for storage in the R1T, but they are playing catch-up with autonomous driving features compared to Tesla's maturity in this area.
Range and Performance:
Both companies offer competitive range for their vehicles, but specifics can vary by model and battery pack. Tesla's vehicles have a reputation for efficiency, with some models like the Model 3 and Model Y providing excellent range for their class.
Rivian's vehicles are noted for their performance, especially in terms of towing capacity and off-road capabilities, which might appeal more to those looking for an adventure vehicle.
Charging Infrastructure:
Tesla has a significant advantage with its Supercharger network, providing widespread, reliable fast-charging options globally.
Rivian is building its own charging network, Rivian Adventure Network, but it's not as extensive as Tesla's. Rivian vehicles can now use Tesla's Superchargers with an adapter, but this is still less convenient than native access.
Environmental and Ethical Considerations:
Both companies are committed to sustainability, but they approach it differently. Tesla's broader impact on the EV market has arguably pushed the industry towards electrification more aggressively. Rivian's focus includes sustainable manufacturing practices and a strong emphasis on outdoor preservation.
Price and Value:
Tesla's vehicles vary widely in price, with options for every budget from the base Model 3 to the high-end Model S Plaid. Tesla also has a robust second-hand market, which can make their vehicles more accessible.
Rivian's vehicles start at a higher price point, but they offer unique features that might justify the cost for some buyers, like the R1T's design for outdoor enthusiasts.
Final Thoughts:
If you prioritize technology, a wide range of models, and a robust charging network, Tesla might be the better choice.
If you're looking for specialized vehicles with a focus on outdoor adventures, durability, and a unique aesthetic, Rivian could be more appealing.
Ultimately, the choice between Rivian and Tesla depends on what you value most in an electric vehicle - whether it's the brand, specific vehicle features, or the ecosystem of services around the car.
Thursday, January 16, 2025
RIVIAN STOCK, what will it be worth in 2030?
What will Rivian be worth in 2030?
According to 24/7 Wall St., Rivian's (RIVN) stock price could be $140 per share in 2030, which would be a 911.2% increase from its current price.
Explanation
24/7 Wall St. estimates that Rivian's stock price will be $140 per share in 2030.
This would be a 911.2% increase from its current stock price of $13.85.
Rivian plans to launch the R2 SUV in 2026, and the R3 and R3X SUVs in 2026 and 2027.
Rivian will also continue to fulfill Amazon's long-term order for 100,000 electric delivery vans through 2030.
Thursday, January 2, 2025
A Tesla Truck for $10,000?
The Tesla Cybertruck is eligible for a $10,000 fleet rebate in Canada for businesses and organizations. The rebate is available in British Columbia and is pending approval from Quebec Écocamionnage and the Federal iMHZEV rebates.
The very real challenge of a Tesla Pickup Truck
The Tesla Cybertruck is an all-electric pickup truck with a starting price of $79,990 for the all-wheel drive model. The high-performance Cyberbeast model starts at $99,990. Both models offer an $8,000 upgrade for supervised Full Self-Driving.
Here are some other ways to get the Cybertruck for less:
Referral credit: A $1,000 referral credit is available.
Military Program: A $1,000 credit is available through the Military Program.
Financing deal: Tesla has its first financing deal for the Cybertruck.
The Cybertruck can travel up to 325 miles on a single charge, and can recover up to 136 miles of range with just 15 minutes of Supercharging.
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Call it the Tesla Truck, the Tesla Pickup Truck, or the Tesla-150, but CEO Elon Musk has made it clear as revealed in the company’s Master Plan, Part Deux that the electric carmaker plans to make a pickup and heavy-duty truck. In fact, he couldn’t be clearer: he stated in the past that plans call for something to compete with the best-selling light-duty vehicle on American roads: the Ford F-150. This precludes the idea of a small or mid-sized Tesla truck and says that Musk seems to be clearly aiming for a full-sized offering.
Tesla-PickupA full-sized electric truck seems like a lark to most truck owners and enthusiasts. I live in the heart of truck country, Wyoming, where pickup trucks equal passenger cars in numbers on the road and range from half-ton F-150s, 1500s, and Silverados to heavy-duty and diesel-driven duals. Although many enjoy scoffing at the wannabe cowboys who buy a big, shiny pickup and drive it to the office and back every day – never seeing dirt or any load larger than an IKEA furniture set – the core truck buyer and, indeed, the majority of truck owners do not fit that stereotype.
In general, truck owners fall into three categories: weekend warriors, offroaders, and workhorses. The weekend warrior uses a truck to tow toys (boats, RVs, what have you) and occasionally haul household construction goods for home improvement. The offroader buys the TRD, Pro-4X, and similar packages and spends a lot of time getting mud, dirt, and tree branches stuck on the truck (this would be my personal category, for the record). Finally, the workhorses are those who buy a truck to work with, either as a commercial vehicle or as a personal working machine – these include farmers, ranchers, commercial haulers, tradesmen, and so forth.
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Wednesday, January 1, 2025
2025 Resla 3 for under $60k?
Overview
The Tesla Model 3 practically invented the electric compact sedan category and it remains a highly appealing choice for EV shoppers. The recent "Highland" updates to the Model 3 addressed some of our biggest gripes with the car: Suspension improvements that smooth out the ride are appreciated, as are the nicer interior materials. Those updates helped it along to a spot on our 10Best list this year. However, the infotainment system still lacks Apple CarPlay or Android Auto compatibility, and now even more physical controls have been jettisoned—the Model 3 has gone stalk-free, moving the turn-signal controls to the steering wheel and the gear selector to the display. It's as quick as ever, though; the Performance model delivers particularly brutal acceleration, and even the slowest version, the rear-drive Long Range model, manages a 4.6-second run to 60 mph. Real-world highway range falls short of the advertised numbers but still beats many other EVs. Rivals include the BMW i4, Hyundai Ioniq 6, and Polestar 2.
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Where This Vehicle Ranks
#1 in Best Electric Sedans and HatchbacksChevron Down Icon
Tesla Model 31
Tesla Model 3
STARTING AT: $44,130
Hyundai Ioniq 62
Hyundai Ioniq 6
STARTING AT: $38,945
Fiat 500e3
Fiat 500e
STARTING AT: $38,000
Nissan Leaf4
Nissan Leaf
STARTING AT: $29,280
Mini Cooper Electric5
Mini Cooper Electric
STARTING AT: $31,895
Toyota Mirai6
Toyota Mirai
STARTING AT: $52,000
What's New for 2025?
Tesla has dropped the Standard Range model, previously the least expensive Model 3, from the lineup.
Pricing and Which One to Buy
The price of the 2025 Tesla Model 3 starts at $44,130 and goes up to $56,630 depending on the trim and options.
Long Range RWD
$44,130
Long Range AWD
$49,130
Performance
$56,630
Rear-wheel drive and a single electric motor are standard, but a dual-motor all-wheel-drive setup is available. We'd recommend either the rear- or all-wheel-drive Long Range models, which offer an estimated 363 and 341 miles of driving per charge, respectively. All Model 3s come standard with heated and ventilated front seats, navigation, and Tesla's Autopilot driver-assist system.
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EV Motor, Power, and Performance
As with most EVs, the Model 3 gains speed swiftly, smoothly, and almost silently, with the electric motor providing a strong punch from a stop. And it's quick—extremely so in some trims. Like all Teslas (and most other EVs), the Model 3 carries its battery under the floor, resulting in a low center of gravity. This helps it change direction crisply and feel planted and stable in corners. The steering is accurate and well-weighted, with three different settings that adjust the level of effort. The ride is firm without being harsh, and the cabin is notably quieter than before in our testing. The new-for-2024 Performance trim ups the ante with a host of upgrades. This model is the only Model 3 that comes with a sport-tuned suspension with adaptive dampers. The Performance model's all-wheel-drive powertrain pumps out a combined 510 horsepower and Tesla has upgraded the brakes and installed a staggered set of wheels and tires.
0–60-MPH Times
When we tested the rear-wheel-drive Long Range model, it got to 60 mph in a swift 4.6 seconds. The all-wheel-drive dual-motor Long Range model will likely be quicker still. The 2024 Performance trim has more power than the pre-facelift version and got to 60 mph in 2.8 seconds in our testing.
2025 tesla model 3 long range rwd rearVIEW EXTERIOR PHOTOS
MICHAEL SIMARI|CAR AND DRIVER
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Latest Model 3 Is Way Quieter with Far More Range
Range, Charging, and Battery Life
Three distinct Model 3 trims are offered, each with a different estimated driving range. The rear-wheel-drive Long Range model has an estimated range of 363 miles, while the all-wheel-drive Long Range model offers 341 miles of driving range. (If you opt for the extra-cost 19-inch wheels, the estimated range numbers are lower.) The Model 3 Performance sacrifices some of the range for more power, but its estimated range is still pretty good at 296 miles per charge. In our real-world 75-mph highway range test, the rear-wheel-drive Model 3 Long Range achieved a result of 310 miles and the Model 3 Performance achieved 260 miles. The Model 3 offers several different options for charging: Tesla's network of fast-charging stations called Superchargers, adapters for DC public-charging stations, 240- and 120-volt outlets, and a home-charging station.
Fuel Economy and Real-World MPGe
The various versions of the Model 3 are rated between 113 MPGe and 138 MPGe by the EPA. Our RWD Long Range test vehicle managed 128 MPGe on our 75-mph highway fuel-economy test and the Performance model managed 91 MPGe. The Model 3 comes standard with aluminum wheels that are covered by plastic aerodynamic hubcaps. We wanted to know how much impact those hubcaps have on the car's driving range, so we tested with and without them and were surprised to find that they helped more than expected. For more information about the Model 3's fuel economy, visit the EPA's website.
Interior, Comfort, and Cargo
We're not exaggerating when we say that the Tesla Model 3 has an interior unlike any other (non-Tesla) car on the market today. It's shockingly simple inside, with nearly everything controlled by the monolithic touchscreen in the center of the dashboard. Buttons on the steering wheel control things like the exterior side-view mirrors, the position of the steering column, and even the turn signals—and we wish those controls were of the conventional design instead. The Tesla's low, flat floor makes for a spacious and airy feel inside. The front seats are supportive and comfortable, but the rear seats are positioned low and are cramped and uncomfortable; don't expect adults to be able to spend long periods of time in them. Folding the 60/40 split rear seats is simple and expands the trunk space considerably, providing enough room for 15 carry-on suitcases. There are also generously sized bins and cubbies throughout t
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